STOCKS UPGRADE AND DOWNGRADE

By earn 0 Comment #040 #100 #1Q Beat #1Q Revenue #300 #700 #880/Sh #900 #950 #Acquisition Integration #AI Deals #B2B Offtake #Bernstein on Infosys #BFSI Inflects #BFSI Recovery #Buy #buy call #C&W #Capex Housing Cycles #Cement Capacity #Citi On Go Digit General Insurance #Citi on Infosys #commodity #Consensus #Conservative #CQGR #Deal Momentum #Deal Pipeline #Deal TCV #Deal Wins #Demand Environment #EBIT Margin #EBITDA #EBITDA Beat #Election Impact #EPS #EPS CAGR #Equal-Weight Call #Estimate Cuts #EV/EBITDA #Expansion Projects #FCF #FY25 Growth Guidance #FY25 Revenue Guidance #FY25-26 EPS #FY25E Revenue Growth #FY26 Book You’ve hit the Free plan limit for GPT-4o. #Growth Recovers #GS on Infosys #GS on Tata Tech #Guidance #Hold Call #INFY 1Q #Jefferies on Havells #Jefferies on Infosys #JPM on Infosys #Lighting Sales #Lloyd #M&A Support #Margin #Margin Guidance #Margin Miss #Margins #MS on Dalmia Bharat #MS on L&T Tech #Neutral Call #Nomura on Dalmia Bharat #Nomura on Havells #Nomura on Infosys #Nomura on L&T Tech #One Off #Operating Performance #Opex #Organic #Organic Growth #Outperform Call #OW #Price Hikes #Project Maximus Impact #Q1 Beat Estimates #Q1 Estimates #Q1FY25 All-round Beat #Q1FY25 Miss #QoQ #Realisations #Reduce #Reduce Call #revenue #revenue growth #Revenue Guidance #Revenue Runrate #RoE #Sales #Sell Call #Sequential Growth #Strong Deal Wins #Strong Revenue Growth #Strong Start #Strongest Beat in 10 Quarters #Summer Products #Surprise Revenue Guidance #Switchgears #Target Cut To Rs 950 #Target Raised To Rs 1 #Target Raised To Rs 2 #Target Rs 1 #target Rs 4 #Target Rs 425 #TCV #Technology Solutions Segment #Top Pick #TP Raised to Rs 1850 #TP Rs 1870 #TP Rs 1950 #TP Rs 4310 #Underweight Call #Upcycle Trend #Valuing Company #Vinfast Customer #Weak Volumes
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Nomura on Infosys*
Buy Call, Target Raised To Rs 1,950
Q1FY25 Was An All-round Beat
Surprise Revenue Guidance Driven By Strong Start, Deal Wins, & Acquisition Integration
Project Maximus’ Impact On Margin Continues To Play Out
Raise Our FY25-26 EPS By Nearly 2-3%, Reiterate As Top Pick

*Jefferies on Infosys*
Buy Call, Target Raised To Rs 2,040
Q1 Beat Estimates, Driven By Strong Revenue Growth Of 3.6% QoQ
Co Has Raised Its FY25 Growth Guidance Which Seems Conservative In Context Of Strong Deal Wins
Initial Signs Of Recovery In BFSI, Strong Deal Wins Suggest The Worst Is Behind
All-Round Improvement In Operating Performance Suggest The Worst Is Behind
Raise Estimates By 3-4% & Expect Co To Deliver 10% EPS CAGR Over FY24-27

*Bernstein on Infosys*
Outperform Call, Target Raised To Rs 2,100
Delivered Its Strongest Beat In 10 Quarters In Q1 Across Revenue, Margin & EPS
FY 25 Revenue Guidance Was Raised To 3% To 4% YoY CC (From 1% To 3%)
Deal Momentum Was Strong At $4.1 Bn TCV With Net New Of 57
See Beginning Of An Upcycle Trend As Growth Recovers, BFSI Inflects & AI Deals Scale Up

*JPM on Infosys*
OW, TP Rs 1950
1Q perfect foil to a poor 4Q24, handsomely beating rev/margin/EPS/FCF &upgrading guide with some +ve one-off revenues/margins
Cos’ new revenue guidance of 3-4% parses out as 2.3-3.3% organic implies 0.8-1.5% CQGR

*GS on Infosys*
Buy, TP Rs 1870
1Q beat: Upside risks to guidance
INFY 1Q, coupled with commentary from some of its peers, suggest demand environment is incrementally getting better
Expect FY25E reve growth for Infy/sector to be c.400 bps higher vs FY24

*CITI on Infosys*
Buy, TP raised to Rs 1850
1Q revenue came in well above expectations; Deal TCV +87% yoy LTM.
Margins were slightly ahead, aided by one off.

*GS on Tata Tech*
Sell Call, Target Cut To Rs 950
Q1FY25 Was A Miss With Revenue/EBITDA -2.5%/-8% QoQ & Were -5%/-9% Below Consensus
Softness Was Due To Phasing Of Customer Business In The Smaller Technology Solutions Segment
Softness Was Due To Vinfast Customer Related QoQ Moderation In Rev In Core Svcs (Auto) Biz
Going Forward, Mgmt Expects A Return To Sequential Growth In The Business In Q2-Q3-Q4 Of FY25

*MS on Dalmia Bharat*
Equal-Weight Call, Target Rs 1,900
Small EBITDA Beat In Q1 While Key Positive Was Better Realisations
Opex/t Was Broadly In-line With Estimate
Weak Volumes, However, Were A Key Negative

*Nomura on Dalmia Bharat*
Reduce Call, Target Rs 1,700
Stable Realisations Drive Significant EBITDA/t Beat
EBITDA/t Of `904/t Came In 33% Above Estimates
Expansion Projects On Track
Co Poised To Achieve 50 mt Cement Capacity By FY26 Through Organic Route
Stock Currently Trades At 11.5x 1-Yr Fwd EV/EBITDA

*MS on L&T Tech*
Underweight Call, Target Rs 4,300
Despite The Miss, Co Has Strong Deal Pipeline & Maintained Revenue & Margin Guidance For FY25
Ask Rate To Meet Rev Guidance Is High, & Continued Estimate Cuts Could Limit Positive Triggers

*Nomura on L&T Tech*
Reduce, TP Rs 4310
1Q mixed bag – slightly weaker revenue & better margins
Retains FY25F guidance of 8-10% organic growth; aspirational $1.5bn of revenue runrate needs M&A support
Front-loading of investments in FY25F; retains 16% EBIT margin guidance for FY25F

*Nomura on Havells*
Neutral Call, Target Rs 1,900
Q1 Margin Miss On Weaker Mix
Maintain 20%/17% Revenue Growth For FY25/26 (18%/14% Ex-Lloyd)
Price Hikes & Stable Commodity Should Support Margin
Stock Trades At 54x FY26 EPS, Which Believe Factors In Expected Earnings Recovery

*Jefferies on Havells*
Hold Call, Target Rs 1,880/Sh
Q1 Was In-line With Estimates
Strong Sale (+20% YoY) Was Driven By Good Offtake In Summer Products
Strong Sale Was Driven B2B Offtake, Albeit With Interim Election Impact
Lloyd Posted EBIT Margin At +3.5% In Q1 (+2.8% In Q4FY24)
Strong Capex Housing Cycles – C&W, Switchgears & Lighting Sales Declined By 11-15% QoQ
Cut FY25-27 EPS By 1-2%

*Citi On Go Digit General Insurance*
Initiates Buy Call, Target Rs 425
Valuing Company At 8x, FY26 Book On RoE Rising To 15-16% In FY26-27 From Nearly 7% In FY24

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