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Indian stock market has witnessed significant fluctuations recently, largely influenced by election uncertainties and the aggressive monetary policies of global central banks. This turbulence has notably impacted the behavior of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in the market. Here, we analyze the transition of FPIs from net sellers to aggressive buyers and discuss the potential future of their investment trends in India.

FPI Trends in FY24-25

Foreign portfolio investors have exhibited a marked shift in their investment strategy in the Indian equities market over the past two months. After a period of reduced activity, they have turned into aggressive buyers this month, following a major dip in the market. This section provides a detailed overview of their recent activities and the factors influencing these changes.

MonthInvestment BehaviorNet Investment (in crore INR)
Previous MonthNet Sellers-17,083
Current MonthAggressive BuyersData pending

Driving Factors Behind the Shift

Several key factors have contributed to the recent aggressive buying behavior of FPIs:

  1. Market Crash: The sharp decline in equity prices presented a lower entry point for FPIs, making Indian stocks more attractive.
  2. Election Volatility: Political uncertainty tends to lead to market fluctuations, which experienced investors might leverage.
  3. Global Central Banks’ Policies: Hawkish policies have created a ripple effect, impacting emerging markets including India.

What’s Next for FPIs?

Investors and market analysts are keenly watching to see when FPIs will resume consistent buying. While precise predictions are challenging, several indicators will influence their decisions:

  1. Stabilization of Global Markets: A more stable global economic environment could encourage sustained investments.
  2. Domestic Economic Indicators: Improvements in GDP growth, inflation rates, and other economic fundamentals could attract more foreign investments.
  3. Resolution of Political Uncertainties: Clarity in political scenarios following elections could lead to increased market stability.

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